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妇科手术患者医院获得性压疮风险评分工具的研制

卢婷婷 王艳 张颖慧

卢婷婷, 王艳, 张颖慧. 妇科手术患者医院获得性压疮风险评分工具的研制[J]. 中华全科医学, 2024, 22(11): 1976-1980. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.003778
引用本文: 卢婷婷, 王艳, 张颖慧. 妇科手术患者医院获得性压疮风险评分工具的研制[J]. 中华全科医学, 2024, 22(11): 1976-1980. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.003778
LU Tingting, WANG Yan, ZHANG Yinghui. Development of a risk scoring tool for hospital-acquired pressure ulcer in gynecological surgery patients[J]. Chinese Journal of General Practice, 2024, 22(11): 1976-1980. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.003778
Citation: LU Tingting, WANG Yan, ZHANG Yinghui. Development of a risk scoring tool for hospital-acquired pressure ulcer in gynecological surgery patients[J]. Chinese Journal of General Practice, 2024, 22(11): 1976-1980. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.003778

妇科手术患者医院获得性压疮风险评分工具的研制

doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.003778
基金项目: 

安徽省科学研究重点项目 2022AH051536

详细信息
    通讯作者:

    卢婷婷,E-mail:286237072@qq.com

  • 中图分类号: R473.71

Development of a risk scoring tool for hospital-acquired pressure ulcer in gynecological surgery patients

  • 摘要:   目的  探索妇科手术患者发生医院获得性压疮的风险因素,并基于这些因素开发一个有效的预测工具。  方法  通过文献检索确定已知的压疮风险因素,回顾性收集2018年1月—2023年10月于蚌埠医科大学第一附属医院128例(其中64例发生医院获得性压疮和64例未发生)行妇科手术患者的临床资料,分析2组患者在已知风险因素中的差异。之后采用二元多因素logistic回归分析评估不同风险因素的重要性,确定医院获得性压疮发生的风险因素。再通过R软件开发压疮风险预测模型,并对模型进行内部验证。  结果  2组患者年龄、BMI(< 23)、美国麻醉医师协会(ASA)分级(1~2级和≥3级)、术前Braden评分(≤14分)、贫血、高血压、呼吸道疾病以及住院时间方面差异均有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。通过logistic回归分析确认了8个风险因素:年龄≥70岁、住院时间、ASA分级≥3级、BMI < 23、术前Braden评分≤14分、贫血、呼吸道疾病和高血压。预测模型的c统计量为0.81,具有良好的风险区分能力,模型选取临界值≥6分作为压疮发生的强预测指标,其阳性预测值为73.9%,阴性预测值为80.5%。  结论  本研究明确了压疮发生的风险因素(年龄≥70岁、住院时间长、ASA分级≥3级、BMI < 23、术前Braden评分≤14分、贫血、呼吸道疾病和高血压),基于此开发的压疮风险预测工具,具有可靠的阳性预测率,为临床护理工作的开展提供了理论依据。

     

  • 图  1  HAPU风险预测模型“SPURS”

    注:虚线表示理想的预测曲线,点线表示从原始样品得到的实际曲线,实线表示重新取样得到的偏倚校正曲线。

    Figure  1.  HAPU risk prediction model: "SPURS"

    图  2  2组SPURS评分点图

    Figure  2.  Two sets of SPURS rating point charts

    表  1  妇科手术患者基线资料特征与压疮风险的单因素分析

    Table  1.   Univariate analysis of baseline characteristics and pressure ulcer risk in patients

    项目 观察组(n=64) 对照组(n=64) 统计量 P
    年龄[例(%)] 12.522a < 0.001
        ≥70岁 27(42.19) 9(14.06)
        <70岁 37(57.81) 55(85.94)
    BMI[例(%)] 7.173a 0.007
         < 23 35(54.69) 20(31.25)
        ≥23 29(45.31) 44(68.75)
    吸烟史[例(%)] 0.237a 0.626
        是 9(14.06) 11(17.19)
        否 55(85.94) 53(82.81)
    ASA分级[例(%)] 21.460a < 0.001
        1~2级 15(23.44) 41(64.06)
        ≥3级 49(76.56) 23(35.94)
    术前Braden评分[例(%)] 6.893a 0.009
        ≤14分 16(25.00) 5(7.81)
        ≥15分 48(75.00) 59(92.19)
    病理类型[例(%)] 2.723a 0.099
        急诊 28(43.75) 19(29.69)
        择期 36(56.25) 45(70.31)
    疾病类型[例(%)] 2.594a 0.628
        畸胎瘤 20(31.25) 25(39.06)
        子宫肌瘤 18(28.13) 20(31.25)
        巧克力囊肿 24(37.50) 16(25.00)
        宫颈癌 1(1.56) 1(1.56)
        子宫内膜癌 1(1.56) 2(3.13)
    贫血[例(%)] 10(15.63) 1(1.56) 8.056a 0.005
    糖尿病[例(%)] 20(31.25) 14(21.88) 1.442a 0.230
    心脏病[例(%)] 17(26.56) 8(12.50) 4.026a 0.045
    高血压[例(%)] 38(59.38) 22(34.38) 8.031a 0.005
    中风[例(%)] 2(3.13) 1(1.56) < 0.001a 0.999
    血管疾病[例(%)] 7(10.94) 3(4.69) 1.736a 0.188
    神经系统疾病[例(%)] 0 1(1.56) 0.999c
    呼吸道疾病[例(%)] 8(12.50) 1(1.56) 4.303a 0.038
    ICU停留[例(%)] 12(18.75) 10(15.62) 0.220a 0.639
    住院时间[M(P25, P75),d] 13.14(12.00, 14.50) 5.11(4.00, 6.00) -9.787b < 0.001
    注:a为χ2值,bZ值,c为采用Fisher精确检验。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  HAPU的二元多因素logistic回归分析

    Table  2.   Binary multivariate logistic regression analysis of HAPU

    变量 B SE Waldχ2 P OR 95% CI 指定分数
    年龄≥70岁 0.631 0.263 6.519 0.011 1.956 1.169~3.273 2
    住院时间 0.697 0.125 4.249 0.039 2.007 1.035~3.893 1
    ASA等级≥3级 1.453 0.354 16.837 < 0.001 4.277 2.136~8.563 2
    BMI < 23 0.616 0.291 5.388 0.020 1.851 1.101~3.113 1
    术前Braden评分≤14 0.671 0.236 7.149 0.027 1.879 1.183~2.985 2
    贫血 0.955 0.293 10.654 0.001 2.599 1.465~4.611 2
    呼吸道疾病 2.305 1.027 5.036 0.025 10.029 1.339~75.112 3
    高血压 0.393 0.142 5.626 0.018 1.481 1.071~2.050 1
    下载: 导出CSV
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  • 收稿日期:  2023-12-06
  • 网络出版日期:  2024-12-31

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