Predictive value of hs-CRP to albumin ratio for weaning failure in COPD patients with respiratory failure
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摘要:
目的 通过探讨超敏C反应蛋白(hs-CRP)与白蛋白(Alb)与呼吸衰竭慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)患者撤机失败的关系, 分析其对该类患者撤机失败的预测价值。 方法 选取2022年10月—2023年10月浙江省人民医院淳安分院收治的242例呼吸衰竭COPD患者, 根据撤机结果将患者分为2组: 撤机成功组(180例)与撤机失败组(62例)。采用单因素分析比较2组患者的一般资料, 采用多因素logistic回归分析法分析呼吸衰竭COPD患者撤机失败的影响因素, 绘制ROC曲线分析hs-CRP与Alb比值对呼吸衰竭COPD患者撤机失败的预测价值。 结果 撤机成功组患者年龄、急性生理与慢性健康评分(APACHE Ⅱ)、hs-CRP、hs-CRP与Alb比值、胃肠功能受损发生率较撤机失败组低, 机械通气时间较撤机失败组短, Alb水平较撤机失败组高(P < 0. 05);logistic回归分析结果显示, 年龄较大、APACHEⅡ评分高、hs-CRP与Alb比值较高均为呼吸衰竭COPD患者撤机失败的危险因素; ROC曲线结果显示, 年龄、APACHE Ⅱ、hs-CRP与Alb比值预测呼吸衰竭COPD患者撤机失败的AUC为0. 735、0. 716、0. 927, 其中hs-CRP与Alb比值的预测价值最高。 结论 呼吸衰竭COPD患者撤机失败的发生与hs-CRP与Alb比值的上升有关, 其可以作为撤机失败发生的预测因子。 Abstract:Objective By analyzing the relationship between high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) and albumin (Alb) and the failure of weaning in patients with respiratory failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), the predictive value of weaning failure in this disease is analyzed. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 242 patients with respiratory failure COPD at Chun ' an Branch of Zhejiang Provincial People ' s Hospital from October 2022 to October 2023. The cases were were divided into a successful weaning group (180 cases) and a failed weaning group (62 cases) based on the weaning outcome. Univariate analysis was used to analyze the general information of two groups of patients, and multiple logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the influencing factors of weaning failure in COPD patients with respiratory failure. ROC curves were plotted to analyze the predictive value of hsCRP to Alb ratio for weaning failure in COPD patients with respiratory failure. Results The age, acute physiology and chronic health score (APACHE Ⅱ), hs-CRP, hs-CRP to Alb ratio, incidence of gastrointestinal dysfunction, mechanical ventilation time, and Alb level of patients in the successful weaning group were lower than those in the failed weaning group (P < 0. 05), the duration of mechanical ventilation was shorter than that of the failed weaning group and the Alb levels were higher than that of the failed weaning group (P < 0. 05). Older age, high APACHE Ⅱ score, and high hs-CRP to Alb ratio are all risk factors for failed weaning in COPD patients with respiratory failure. The ROC curve results showed that age, APACHE Ⅱ, hs-CRP to Alb ratio had AUC values of 0. 735, 0. 716, and 0. 927 for the failure of weaning in COPD patients with respiratory failure, among them, the hs-CRP to Alb ratio had the highest predictive value. Conclusion The occurrence of weaning failure in COPD patients with respiratory failure is related to the increase in the ratio of hsCRP to Alb, which can serve as an early predictor of weaning failure. -
表 1 2组呼吸衰竭COPD患者临床资料比较
Table 1. Comparison of clinical data between two groups of COPD patients with respiratory failure
项目 撤机成功组(n=180) 撤机失败组(n=62) 统计量 P值 性别[例(%)] 0.516a 0.472 男性 125(69.44) 40(64.52) 女性 55(30.56) 22(35.48) 年龄(x±s,岁) 58.64±4.33 62.11±3.66 5.652b < 0.001 BMI(x±s) 22.05±1.36 21.89±1.20 0.822b 0.412 吸烟[例(%)] 78(43.33) 20(32.26) 2.348a 0.125 饮酒[例(%)] 62(34.44) 14(22.58) 3.013a 0.083 合并糖尿病[例(%)] 51(28.33) 14(22.58) 0.777a 0.378 合并高血压[例(%)] 36(20.00) 7(11.29) 2.394a 0.122 合并高脂血症[例(%)] 21(11.67) 9(14.52) 0.345a 0.557 血pH值(x±s) 7.28±1.33 7.32±1.84 0.184b 0.854 呼吸次数(x±s,次) 20.77±4.36 21.10±3.52 0.538b 0.591 ICU住院时间(x±s,d) 17.21±4.11 17.59±3.25 0.660b 0.510 撤机方式[例(%)] 0.607a 0.436 自主呼吸试验 68(37.78) 20(32.26) 智能化撤机 112(62.22) 42(67.74) 平均动脉压(x±s,mmHg) 105.25±3.33 104.82±3.41 0.872b 0.384 APACHE Ⅱ评分(x±s,分) 15.28±6.58 19.95±5.30 5.055b < 0.001 血清Alb(x±s,g/L) 24.91±4.62 22.57±3.71 2.081b 0.039 hs-CRP(x±s,mg/L) 39.33±12.69 55.58±14.03 3.609b < 0.001 hs-CRP与Alb比值(x±s) 1.58±0.39 2.35±0.35 13.658b < 0.001 机械通气时间(x±s,d) 5.02±1.22 5.32±1.20 3.577b < 0.001 胃肠功能受损[例(%)] 5.024a 0.025 是 20(11.11) 14(22.58) 否 160(88.89) 48(77.42) 注:a为χ2值,b为t值。 表 2 各变量赋值情况
Table 2. Variable assignment
变量 赋值方法 年龄 连续变量,以实际值赋值 APACHE Ⅱ评分 连续变量,以实际值赋值 Alb 连续变量,以实际值赋值 hs-CRP 连续变量,以实际值赋值 hs-CRP与Alb比值 连续变量,以实际值赋值 胃肠道功能受损 是=1,否=0 机械通气时间 连续变量,以实际值赋值 撤机结局 失败=1,成功=0 表 3 呼吸衰竭COPD患者撤机结局的多因素logistic回归分析
Table 3. Multivariate logistic regression analysis of weaning outcomes in COPD patients with respiratory failure
变量 B SE Waldχ2 P值 OR值 95% CI 年龄 0.156 0.060 6.623 0.011 1.168 1.037~1.317 APACHE Ⅱ评分 0.103 0.043 5.686 0.016 1.109 1.020~1.205 Alb -0.083 0.071 1.382 0.244 0.920 0.801~1.058 hs-CRP -0.055 0.037 2.200 0.134 0.947 0.881~1.017 hs-CRP与Alb比值 3.548 0.674 26.731 < 0.001 32.986 8.707~124.213 胃肠道功能受损 0.548 0.623 0.791 0.390 1.729 0.496~6.026 机械通气时间 0.015 0.200 0.005 0.941 1.015 0.686~1.501 表 4 各指标对呼吸衰竭COPD患者撤机结局的预测价值分析
Table 4. Analysis of the predictive value of various indicators for weaning outcomes in COPD patients with respiratory failure
项目 截断值 灵敏度 特异度 AUC 95% CI 约登指数 年龄 >58岁 85.50 52.20 0.735 0.675~0.790 0.377 APACHE Ⅱ评分 >16分 82.30 57.80 0.716 0.654~0.772 0.400 hs-CRP与Alb比值的截断值>1.9 87.10 83.90 0.927 0.887~0.957 0.710 -
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