Trend analysis of health level of Chinese population and policy proposal——big data analytics in healthcare
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摘要: 目的 描述1998—2013年中国居民两周患病率、慢性病患病率的变化趋势和特征并进行预测,为有关部门制定政策提供依据。 方法 采用描述性分析和线性回归的方法对中国居民1998—2013年的健康水平相关指标进行分析。 结果 调查地区居民两周患病率和慢性病患病率的总体趋势是上升的。中国慢性病的上升主要有两方面的原因。一是人口老龄化的影响,由于期望寿命的增长,使中国人口年龄结构从“成年型”向“老年型”急剧转变,伴随而来的是,与老年人有关疾病的死亡率上升。 结论 根据现有分析,笔者提出建议如下:①增加卫生投入,并提高农村医疗水平,缩小医疗的城乡差距。②根据我国目前的卫生现状,在现有的社区卫生服务中加入城乡特点的元素,如农村社区卫生服务注重呼吸系统、消化系统疾病防治,宣传良好的饮食习惯及加强控烟措施;城市的社区卫生服务则注重饮食控制和三高防治等。③进一步加强慢性病防治工作。Abstract: Objective To describe the trend and characteristic of two week prevalence and morbidity Rate of chronic diseases in China from 1998 to 2013,so as to provide the basis for the policy making. Methods The descriptive analysis and linear regression analysis were conducted to study the health-related data from 1998 to 2013 in China. Results The survey results showed an overall upward trend in two weeks prevalence and morbidity rate of chronic diseases among the samples.The rise of chronic diseases in China mainly includes two aspects. One is the influence of population aging due to the increase in life expectancy and the age structure of the population from the “adult” to “old” sharp transition.This leaded to the rising of morbidity rate of age-related diseases. Conclusion Based on the above analysis,some suggestions are put forward:①The government should increase health the investment in medical and public health services and improve rural medical level,reduce the gap between urban and rural residents.②According to the current hygienic status in China,some elements with urban and rural characteristics,such as rural community health services focusing on the prevention and treatment of respiratory system and digestive system diseases,dissemination of good eating habits and control of tobacco should be added;The urban community health service should pay more attentions to the diet control and three controls.③To further promote chronic disease prevention and control.
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Key words:
- Health level /
- Trend analysis /
- Policy proposal
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