Value of combined lung ultrasound, CPIS, and inflammatory markers for predicting the timing of lbronchoalveolar avage intervention and outcomes of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children
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摘要:
目的 分析肺部超声评分(LUS)、临床肺部感染评分(CPIS)及血清炎症指标在指导肺炎支原体肺炎(MPP)儿童支气管肺泡灌洗术(BAL)介入时机及判断难治性肺炎支原体肺炎(RMPP)结局的预测效能。 方法 采用前瞻性巢式病例对照研究,选取2023年5月—2024年5月于南京医科大学第一附属医院儿科接受治疗的50例MPP患儿为研究对象,依据是否接受BAL干预将患儿分为纤支镜组(BAL组,28例)和非纤支镜组(non-BAL组,22例),比较2组间基线资料、LUS、CPIS、血清炎症指标,构建多因素logistic回归模型,绘制ROC曲线预测实施BAL干预时机及RMPP临床结局。 结果 2组MPP患儿性别、年龄、体重、平均动脉压、血气[pH、动脉血氧饱和度(SaO2)、乳酸(Lac)]以及乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)差异均无统计学意义(P>0.05);BAL组LUS、CPIS、IL-6、D-二聚体、发热时间、住院时间高于non-BAL组,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05)。ROC分析提示联合LUS≥26.5分、CPIS≥5.5分、IL-6≥25.1 ng/L预测实施BAL干预时机AUC为0.950,灵敏度89.3%,特异度95.0%(P < 0.05)。联合LUS≥27.5分、CPIS≥6.5分、IL-6≥30.6 ng/L预测RMPP临床结局的AUC为0.915,灵敏度为88.9%,特异度为86.7%(P < 0.05)。 结论 LUS联合CPIS、血清炎症指标可有效预测儿童MPP实施BAL干预时机及RMPP临床结局,敏感、无创、精准,值得临床推广。 Abstract:Objective To evaluate the value of the lung ultrasound score (LUS), clinical pulmonary infection score (CPIS), and serum inflammatory markers in predicting the timing for bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) intervention and the outcomes of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP) in children. Methods A prospective nested case-control study was conducted. Fifty children with MPP treated in the Department of Pediatrics of the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from May 2023 to May 2024 were selected as the research subjects. The children were divided into the bronchoscopy group (BAL group, n=28) and the non-bronchoscopy group (non-BAL group, n=22) based on whether they received BAL intervention. Baseline data, LUS, CPIS, and serum inflammatory markers were compared between the two groups. A multivariate logistic regression model was constructed by combining the above indicators, and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was drawn to predict the timing of BAL intervention and the outcome of RMPP. Results There were no statistically significant differences in gender, age, weight, mean arterial pressure, blood gas [pH, arterial oxygen saturation (SaO2), lactic acid (Lac)], and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) between the two groups (P>0.05). The BAL group had higher LUS, CPIS, IL-6, D-dimer, fever days, and hospitalization days than the non-BAL group (P < 0.05). ROC analysis indicated that the area under the curve (AUC) of the model combining LUS≥26.5 points, CPIS≥5.5 points, and IL-6≥25.1 ng/L for predicting the timing of BAL intervention was 0.950, with a sensitivity of 89.3% and a specificity of 95.0% (P < 0.05). The AUC of the model combining LUS≥27.5 points, CPIS≥6.5 points, and IL-6 ≥ 30.6 ng/L for predicting the outcome of RMPP was 0.915, with a sensitivity of 88.9% and a specificity of 86.7% (P < 0.05). Conclusion The combination of LUS, CPIS, and serum inflammatory markers can effectively predict the timing of BAL intervention and the outcome of RMPP in children with MPP, which is sensitive, non-invasive, and precise, and is worthy of clinical promotion. -
表 1 临床肺部感染评分标准
Table 1. The clinical pulmonary infection score
评分
(分)体温
(℃)血白细胞计数
(×109)分泌物性状 氧合指数
(kPa)胸片浸润影 病原学 0 36.0~37.9 4~10 无痰或少许 ≥33 无 无 1 38.0~39.9 11~16 中大量非脓性 - 斑片状 - 2 <36.0或>39.9 ≥17或<4 中大量脓性 <33 融合片状 肺泡灌洗液或血清支原体实验阳性 注:“-”表示无对应的赋值内容。 表 2 2组MPP患儿基线资料比较
Table 2. Comparison of baseline data between the two groups in children with MPP
组别 例数 性别
(男/女,例)年龄
[M(P25, P75),岁]体重
[M(P25, P75),kg]平均动脉压
(x±s,mmHg)pH
(x±s)SaO2
[M(P25, P75),%]Lac
[M(P25, P75),mmol/L]BAL组 28 16/12 6.5(4.0, 8.0) 23.0(18.3, 27.8) 76.9±10.3 7.4±0.0 0.9(0.9, 1.0) 1.4(1.1, 2.8) non-BAL组 22 14/8 4.5(3.0, 9.0) 20.5(15.8, 37.3) 71.5±12.4 7.4±0.0 1.0(0.9, 1.0) 1.2(0.9, 1.6) 统计量 0.220a 1.111b 0.166b 0.817c 1.260b 1.755b P值 0.640 0.267 0.868 0.100 0.208 0.079 注:a为χ2值,b为Z值,c为t值;1 mmHg=0.133 kPa。 表 3 2组MPP患儿LUS、CPIS、血清炎症指标及临床资料比较
Table 3. Comparison of LUS, CPIS, serum inflammatory markers and clinical data between the two groups in children with MPP
组别 例数 LUS
(x±s,分)CPIS
[M(P25, P75),分]LDH
[M(P25, P75),U/L]IL-6
[M(P25, P75),ng/L]D-二聚体
[M(P25, P75),mg/dL]发热时间
(x±s,d)住院时间
(x±s,d)BAL组 28 30.4±3.2 6.0(6.0, 7.0) 320.5(248.0, 441.0) 16.5(5.6, 44.7) 0.6(0.4, 0.8) 7.4±3.4 13.3±3.6 non-BAL组 22 22.2±2.9 4.0(3.0, 5.0) 318.5(255.5, 396.5) 7.1(3.3, 17.9) 0.4(0.2, 0.5) 5.3±3.3 9.1±2.9 统计量 9.290a 4.525b 0.127b 2.170b 2.757b 2.192a 4.459a P值 <0.001 <0.001 0.899 0.030 0.006 0.030 <0.001 注:a为t值,b为Z值。 -
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