Volume 21 Issue 8
Aug.  2023
Turn off MathJax
Article Contents
Article Navigation >  Chinese Journal of General Practice  > 2023  >  21(8): 1343-1346
HUANG Lihong, SHI Huiling, LIN Yao, FU Liying, LIU Ying, SHI Liangsun, ZOU Binjun. Trend analysis and prediction of anemia prevalence in children under 5 years old in Haikou[J]. Chinese Journal of General Practice, 2023, 21(8): 1343-1346. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.003119
Citation: HUANG Lihong, SHI Huiling, LIN Yao, FU Liying, LIU Ying, SHI Liangsun, ZOU Binjun. Trend analysis and prediction of anemia prevalence in children under 5 years old in Haikou[J]. Chinese Journal of General Practice, 2023, 21(8): 1343-1346. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.003119
shu

Trend analysis and prediction of anemia prevalence in children under 5 years old in Haikou

doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.003119

  • Department of Child Healthcare, Haikou Hospital of the Maternal And Child Health, Haikou, Hainan 570203, China

Funds:

 819MS145

  • Received Date: 2023-01-18
    Available Online: 2023-09-13
    Abstract
  •   Objective  This study aimed to analyze the current trend of anemia among children aged 0-5 years in Haikou, and to predict the prevalence of anemia in the next 5 years.  Methods  Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the change trend of anemia prevalence among children aged 0-5 years in Haikou City and all 4 districts from 2014 to 2021; while GM (1, 1) grey prediction model was used to predict the prevalence of anemia in children aged 0-5 years in Haikou City.  Results  The prevalence rate of anemia among children aged 0-5 years in Haikou is between 3.95% (3 317/83 955) in 2015 and 9.99% (8 723/87 341) in 2019, the annual percentage change (APC) is 23.0 (95% CI: 6.9-41.6, P=0.018) from 2014 to 2019, this trend changed in 2019, and the APC of anemia is -12.3 (95% CI: - 47.4-46.2, P=0.474) from 2019 to 2021. In general, there is a clear obvious upward trend at first and then a downward trend (not significant). Specific to the situation of children in all districts, the anemia rate in Xiuying and Qiongshan districts first increased and then stabilized; while the anemia rate in Longhua district increased year by year; Meilan district showed no statistically significant change trend in the anemia rate. The prediction results of the GM (1, 1) model show that in the next 5 years from 2022 to 2026, the prevalence of anemia in children aged 0-5 years in Haikou will be about 10.28%, 11.22%, 12.21%, 13.24% and 14.32%, respectively.  Conclusion  The anemia rate of children aged 0-5 years in Haikou has increased significantly in recent years and will increase in the future, which requires the attention of relevant departments, cooperates with the government, health commission and relevant medical and health institutions and other departments jointly formulate relevant intervention measures to reduce the incidence of anemia in children.

     

    • FullText(HTML)
  • loading
    • References(25)
  • [1]
    俞梦璐, 余双彬, 陈曦, 等. 成都市天府新区2013-2017年幼托机构儿童健康体检结果[J]. 中国学校卫生, 2019, 40(2): 308-310. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XIWS201902047.htm

    YU M L, YU S B, CHEN X, et al. Results of examination of children in child care institutions in Tianfu New District, Chengdu, 2013-2017[J]. Chinese Journal of School Health, 2019, 40(2): 308-310. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XIWS201902047.htm
    [2]
    KAY A, LEIDMAN E, LOPEZ V, et al. The burden of anaemia among displaced women and children in refugee settings worldwide, 2013-2016[J]. BMJ Glob Health, 2019, 4(6). DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2019-001837.
    [3]
    梅岳, 王硕, 庞学红, 等. 中国五城市3~5岁儿童饮食喂养行为与营养不足的关系[J]. 卫生研究, 2021, 50(6): 909-913. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-WSYJ202106009.htm

    MEI Y, WANG S, PANG X H, et al. Relationship between dietary behavior and malnutrition of children aged 3-5 years in five cities of China[J]. Journal of Hygiene Research, 2021, 50(6): 909-913. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-WSYJ202106009.htm
    [4]
    裴仁治, 李双月, 陆滢, 等. 宁波市鄞州区儿童贫血流行病学调查[J]. 中华全科医学, 2018, 16(11): 1920-1923. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.000523

    PEI R Z, LI S Y, LU Y, et al. Analysis on prevalence of anemia among children under 12-year-old in Yinzhou District, Ningbo city[J]. Chinese Journal of General Practice, 2018, 16(11): 1920-1923. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.000523
    [5]
    National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint trend analysis software (v. 4.2.0.1)[EB/OL]. (2021-06-23)[2022-01-05]. http://surveillance.cancer.gov/joinpoint/.
    [6]
    ERF P. Changing trends in age-adjusted pulmonary fibrosis mortality in the United States: a joinpoint regression analysis[J]. Eur Respir J, 2019, 54(1): 1900364. DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00364-2019.
    [7]
    张丽, 相晓妹, 米白冰, 等. 灰色模型GM(1, 1)在出生缺陷预测中的应用研究[J]. 西安交通大学学报(医学版), 2019, 40(1): 138-143. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XAYX201901030.htm

    ZHANG L, XIANG X M, MI B B, et al. Application of the gray model GM (1, 1) in predicting birth defects[J]. Journal of Xi 'an Jiaotong University (Medical Sciences), 2019, 40(1): 138-143. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XAYX201901030.htm
    [8]
    周浩, 刘文利, 于丽娅, 等. 2014-2019年辽宁省朝阳市城市居民肝癌死亡率年度趋势分析及灰色模型预测[J]. 现代预防医学, 2021, 48(7): 1293-1297. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XDYF202107037.htm

    ZHOU H, LIU W L, YU L Y, et al. Annual trend analysis and grey model prediction of liver cancer mortality among urban residents in Chaoyang City, Liaoning, 2014-2019[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2021, 48(7): 1293-1297. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XDYF202107037.htm
    [9]
    张婷婷, 冯燕玲, 李树林. 乌鲁木齐市院前急救创伤流行现状及预测[J]. 中华急诊医学杂志, 2019, 28(11): 1350-1351, 1356.

    ZHANG T T, FENG Y L, LI S L. Prevalence and prediction of pre-hospital medical trauma in Urumqi[J]. Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine, 2019, 28(11): 1350-1351, 1356.
    [10]
    王芳. 促进儿童健康成长推动社会可持续发展《中国儿童发展纲要(2021-2030年)》之"儿童与健康"解读[J]. 中国妇幼卫生杂志, 2021, 12(6): 1-4. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YZWS202106001.htm

    WANG F. Promoting the healthy growth of children and accelerating the sustainable development of society[J]. Chinese Journal of Women and Children Health, 2021, 12(6): 1-4. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YZWS202106001.htm
    [11]
    李芝帆, 王君兰, 张健, 等. 陕西省商州区2 215例0~6岁儿童缺铁性贫血患病现状调查及影响因素分析[J]. 陕西医学杂志, 2021, 50(8): 1027-1030. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SXYZ202108031.htm

    LI Z F, WANG J L, ZHANG J, et al. Investigation and analysis of IDA in 2215 children aged 0~6 years in Shangzhou District, Shaanxi Province[J]. Shaanxi Medical Journal, 2021, 50(8): 1027-1030. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SXYZ202108031.htm
    [12]
    盛丽华, 徐英. 5岁以下儿童贫血状况与影响因素分析及管理措施[J]. 中医药管理杂志, 2018, 26(7): 16-18. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZYYG201807011.htm

    SHENG L H, XU Y. Analysis of anemia status and influencing factors of children under 5 years old and management measures[J]. Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine Management, 2018, 26(7): 16-18. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZYYG201807011.htm
    [13]
    孙惟, 周春琴, 杨国强, 等. 2012年与2017年昆山市学龄前儿童营养和贫血状况调查[J]. 海南医学, 2018, 29(18): 2641-2643. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-HAIN201818038.htm

    SUN W, ZHOU C Q, YANG G Q, et al. Survey of nutritional and anemia status of preschool children in Kunshan city in 2012 and 2017[J]. Hainan Medical Journal, 2018, 29(18): 2641-2643. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-HAIN201818038.htm
    [14]
    李明, 黄爱群, 潘晓平. 中国5省区县18月龄儿童贫血发生影响因素分析[J]. 中国健康教育, 2020, 36(5): 423-426, 440. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGJK202005009.htm

    LI M, HUANG A Q, PAN X P. Analysis on influencing factors of anemia occurrence among infants aged 18-month-old in 5 provinces of China[J]. Chinese Journal of Health Education, 2020, 36(5): 423-426, 440. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGJK202005009.htm
    [15]
    胡爱娟, 尹伟丽. 河南省开封地区儿童贫血状况及影响因素分析[J]. 华南预防医学, 2019, 45(4): 360-362. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GDWF201904016.htm

    HU A J, YIN W L. Prevalence and influencing factors of anemia in children in Kaifeng District, Henan Province[J]. South China Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2019, 45(4): 360-362. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GDWF201904016.htm
    [16]
    刘颖, 邢增才, 黄丽红. 海口市学龄前儿童2016-2018年贫血状况及影响因素分析[J]. 中国学校卫生, 2019, 40(10): 1576-1578. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XIWS201910044.htm

    LIU Y, XING Z C, HUANG L H. Analysis of anemia status and the influencing factors of preschool children in Haikou from 2016 to 2018[J]. Chinese Journal of School Health, 2019, 40(10): 1576-1578. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XIWS201910044.htm
    [17]
    郭平, 姚欢迎. 小儿营养性缺铁性贫血的相关因素分析[J]. 中华全科医学, 2018, 16(2): 257-259, 295. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.000072

    GUO P, YAO H Y. Analysis of related factors of nutritional iron deficiency anemia in children[J]. Chinese Journal of General Practice, 2018, 16(2): 257-259, 295. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.000072
    [18]
    饶健. 我国受教育程度不同的女性其平均生育年龄情况分析[J]. 劳动保障世界, 2019(9): 75, 77. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-LDBJ201909051.htm

    RAO J. Analysis of the average childbearing age of women with different education levels in China[J]. Labor Security World, 2019(9): 75, 77. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-LDBJ201909051.htm
    [19]
    胡俊杰, 陈鑫苹, 王洁, 等. 海南黎族中学生地中海贫血流行现状及罕见基因型研究[J]. 广东医学, 2018, 39(10): 1471-1477. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GAYX201810009.htm

    HU J J, CHEN X P, WANG J, et al. Prevalence status and rare genotypes detection of thalassemia in Hainan Li nationality[J]. Guangdong Medical Journal, 2018, 39(10): 1471-1477. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GAYX201810009.htm
    [20]
    海口市政协. 关于推进我市城乡公共服务均等化课题的调研报告[EB/OL]. (2012-12-18)[2022-04-05]. http://zx.haikou.gov.cn/scdy/dybg/201212/t20121218_556423.html.

    Haikou CPPCC. Research Report on promoting the equalization of urban and rural public services in our city[EB/OL]. (2012-12-18)[2022-04-05]. http://zx.haikou.gov.cn/scdy/dybg/201212/t20121218_556423.html.
    [21]
    刘渊, 王健, 朱建玉, 等. 上海市某社区婴幼儿缺铁性贫血情况调查及影响因素分析[J]. 中国临床医学, 2018, 25(4): 538-541. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-LCYX201804006.htm

    LIU Y, WANG J, ZHU J Y, et al. Investigation and analysis of influencing factors of iron deficiency anemia among infants in an urban community in Shanghai[J]. Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine, 2018, 25(4): 538-541. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-LCYX201804006.htm
    [22]
    冯登兰. 分析小儿营养性缺铁性贫血的发病原因[J]. 智慧健康, 2018, 4(24): 135-136. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZHJK201824066.htm

    FENG D L. Analysis of the Causes of Nutritional Iron Deficiency Anemia in Children[J]. Smart Healthcare, 2018, 4(24): 135-136. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZHJK201824066.htm
    [23]
    韦捷琪. 儿童营养性缺铁性贫血对儿童体格生长及智能行为发育的影响[J]. 饮食保健, 2018, 5(30): 265-266.

    WEI J Q. Effects of nutritional iron deficiency anemia on children's physical growth and intellectual behavior development[J]. Dietary health Care, 2018, 5(30): 265-266.
    [24]
    李明, 黄爱群, 潘晓平. 中国5省区县18月龄儿童贫血发生影响因素分析[J]. 中国健康教育, 2020, 36(5): 423-426, 440. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGJK202005009.htm

    LI M, HUANG A Q, PAN X P. Analysis on influencing factors of anemia occurrence among infants aged 18-month-old in 5 provinces of China[J]. Chinese Journal of Health Education, 2020, 36(5): 423-426, 440. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGJK202005009.htm
    [25]
    郑康杰, 何凡, 刘梦, 等. 上海市宝山区儿童贫血现况及影响因素调查分析[J]. 中国妇幼保健, 2020, 35(9): 1718-1721. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZFYB202009050.htm

    ZHENG K J, HE F, LIU M, et al. Investigation and analysis on prevalence and influencing factors of anemia among children in Shanghai Baoshan District[J]Maternal and Child Health Care of China, 2020, 35(9): 1718-1721. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZFYB202009050.htm
    • Relative Articles
    • Supplements(0)
    • Cited By
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Figures(2)  / Tables(3)

    Get Citation
    PDF
    XML

    Article Metrics

    Article views (238) PDF downloads(3) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    Address：No. 287, Changhuai Road, Bengbu, Anhui Province, 233004, P.R.ChinaphoneNo：0552-3066635； 0552-3051890Email：zhqkyx@163.com

    Copyright © Chinese Journal of General Practice皖ICP备2020018345号-2

    Supported by: Beijing Renhe Information Technology Co., Ltd.    

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return