Volume 24 Issue 5
May  2026
Turn off MathJax
Article Contents
WU Huanyu, WANG Yanyan, ZHANG Xiaodong, CHEN Junhu, WEI Yanxing, WANG Caihong, ZHENG Suijin. Development and validation of a coagulation factor-based risk prediction model for hypertensive disorders of pregnancy[J]. Chinese Journal of General Practice, 2026, 24(5): 730-734. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.004478
Citation: WU Huanyu, WANG Yanyan, ZHANG Xiaodong, CHEN Junhu, WEI Yanxing, WANG Caihong, ZHENG Suijin. Development and validation of a coagulation factor-based risk prediction model for hypertensive disorders of pregnancy[J]. Chinese Journal of General Practice, 2026, 24(5): 730-734. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.004478

Development and validation of a coagulation factor-based risk prediction model for hypertensive disorders of pregnancy

doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.004478
Funds:

 81801457

 82471718

 20221800905872

 20231800939842

 20231800902862

 东卫函〔2024〕176号

  • Received Date: 2025-11-12
    Available Online: 2026-10-23
  •   Objective  To improve the early identification of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP), this study focused on coagulation function as a potential predictive dimension. We aimed to systematically evaluate the predictive value of coagulation indicators for HDP and to develop a clinically applicable risk assessment model based on these findings.  Methods  A retrospective study included 533 pregnant women admitted to Houjie Hospital, Dongguan from January 2020 to December 2023 (426 in the HDP group and 107 in the non-HDP group). Indicators including coagulation function, renal function, BMI, and age were collected. Predictive factors were screened through univariate and multivariate logistic regression to develop a nomogram model. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and precision-recall curves (PR).  Results  Multivariate analysis identified advanced maternal age (≥35 years), BMI ≥25, and proteinuria as independent risk factors for HDP, while elevated activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT) and creatinine were protective factors. The model achieved an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.847 (95% CI: 0.810-0.884), with calibration curves close to the ideal diagonal and DCA demonstrating significant clinical net benefit within the threshold probability range of 0.25-0.75.  Conclusion  The nomogram model incorporating APTT, advanced maternal age, BMI, proteinuria, and creatinine demonstrated good predictive performance for HDP, providing a convenient and economical quantitative tool for early identification of high-risk populations in clinical practice.

     

  • loading
  • [1]
    中华医学会心血管病学分会, 中华心血管病杂志编辑委员会. 妊娠期高血压疾病心血管风险综合管理专家共识[J]. 中华心血管病杂志, 2025, 53(3): 235-246.

    Chinese Society of Cardiology, Chinese Medical Association; Editorial Board of Chinese Journal of Cardiology. Expert consensus on the comprehensive cardiovascular risk management of hypertensive disorders in pregnancy[J]. Chinese Journal of Cardiology, 2025, 53(3): 235-246.
    [2]
    REALE S C, CAMANN W R. Preeclampsia[J]. N Engl J Med, 2022, 387(3): 286-287. doi: 10.1056/NEJMc2207559
    [3]
    PENG X, CHINWE OLUCHI-AMAKA I, KWAK-KIM J, et al. A comprehensive review of the roles of T-cell immunity in preeclampsia[J]. Front Immunol, 2025, 16: 1476123. DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2025.1476123.
    [4]
    MUSLIHA M, ANSARIADI, AMINUDDIN S, et al. Preeclampsia: etiology, pathophysiology, risk factors, impact and prevention: a narrative review[J]. Iran J Public Health, 2024, 53(11): 2392-2403.
    [5]
    余忆, 王诚洁, 顾蔚蓉. 子痫前期危险因素在不同亚型中的特点[J]. 复旦学报(医学版), 2021, 48(1): 116-122.

    YU Y, WANG C J, GU W R. The characteristics of risk factors for pre-eclampsia in different sub-types[J]. Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences, 2021, 48(1): 116-122.
    [6]
    ZENG L, LIAO C F. Multivariate logistic regression analysis of preeclampsia in patients with pregnancy induced hypertension and the risk predictive value of monitoring platelet, coagulation function and thyroid hormone in pregnant women[J]. Am J Transl Res, 2022, 14(9): 6805-6813.
    [7]
    CHEN Y Y, MA J T. The construction and validation of a prediction model of hypertensive disease in pregnancy[J]. Sci Rep, 2025, 15: 13406. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-98416-y.
    [8]
    储华, 陆艳, 刘明松. 孕早期子宫动脉超声参数预测模型对子痫前期风险的预测价值[J]. 中华全科医学, 2023, 21(9): 1563-1565. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.003171

    CHU H, LU Y, LIU M S. Predictive value of uterine artery ultrasound parameter prediction model for preeclampsia risk in early pregnancy[J]. Chinese Journal of General Practice, 2023, 21(9): 1563-1565. doi: 10.16766/j.cnki.issn.1674-4152.003171
    [9]
    孔北华, 马丁, 段涛. 妇产科学[M]. 10版. 北京: 人民卫生出版社, 2024: 87-96.

    KONG B H, MA D, DUAN T. Obstetrics and Gynecology[M]. 10th ed. Beijing: People's Medical Publishing House, 2024: 87-96.
    [10]
    ULLMANN T, STEVENS N, HEUS P, et al. Evaluating variable selection methods for multivariable regression models: a simulation study protocol[J]. PLoS One, 2024, 19(9): e0309523. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0309523.
    [11]
    COLLINS G S, DHIMAN P, MA J, et al. Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 1): from development to external validation[J]. BMJ, 2024, 384: e074819. DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2023-074819.
    [12]
    COMMO F, LIQUET G, LAENEN B, et al. Internal validation strategy for high dimensional prognosis model: a simulation study and application to transcriptomic in head and neck tumors[J]. Brief Bioinform, 2024, 25(3): bbae178. DOI: 10.1093/bib/bbae178.
    [13]
    朱映璇, 李杨, 吴疏桐, 等. ROC曲线和PR曲线在临床诊断试验评估中的应用[J]. 中华预防医学杂志, 2022, 56(9): 1341-1347.

    ZHU Y X, LI Y, WU S T, et al. Application of ROC and PR curves in the evaluation of clinical diagnostic testing[J]. Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2022, 56(9): 1341-1347.
    [14]
    RILEY R D, ARCHER L, SNELL K I E, et al. Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 2): How to undertake an external validation study[J]. BMJ, 2024, 384: e074820. DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2023-074820.
    [15]
    DJULBEGOVIC B, HOZO I. Using decision curve analysis to evaluate testing and/or predictive modeling[M]//PETERSON H. Cancer Treatment and Research. Cham: Springer, 2023: 77-84.
    [16]
    邓文静, 樊娜, 张娜, 等. 女性特发性肺间质纤维化并发肺气肿的危险因素分析及相关预测模型构建[J]. 西部医学, 2023, 35(11): 1615-1619, 1624.

    DENG W J, FAN N, ZHANG N, et al. Analysis of risk factors for emphysema in female patients with idiopathic pulmonary interstitial fibrosis and construction of related prediction models[J]. Medical Journal of West China, 2023, 35(11): 1615-1619, 1624.
    [17]
    HOOGLAND J, VAN DER LAAN M J, DEBRAY T P A, et al. Evaluating individualized treatment effect predictions: a model-based perspective on discrimination and calibration assessment[J]. Stat Med, 2024, 43(23): 4481-4498. doi: 10.1002/sim.10186
    [18]
    HOZO I, GUYATT G, DJULBEGOVIC B. Decision curve analysis based on summary data[J]. J Eval Clin Pract, 2023, 30: 281-289.
    [19]
    PENG J, ZHAO Q X, PANG W, et al. Changes of coagulation function and platelet parameters in preeclampsia and their correlation with pregnancy outcomes[J]. J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich), 2024, 26(10): 1181-1187. doi: 10.1111/jch.14893
    [20]
    HARTMANN J, HERMELIN D, LEVY J H. Viscoelastic testing: an illustrated review of technology and clinical applications[J]. Res Pract Thromb Haemost, 2023, 7(1): 100031. DOI: 10.1016/j.rpth.2022.100031.

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Figures(3)  / Tables(2)

    Article Metrics

    Article views (14) PDF downloads(1) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return